Abstract:
Climate change is already occurring. No one will be immune from its overall
impacts. Nonetheless, it will have a disproportionate effect on the lives of poor
people.
Worldwide average surface temperatures have increased by an estimated 0.8ºC
(1.4ºF) between 1900 and 2005. The past decade was the hottest of the past 150
years and perhaps the last millennium. The hottest 22 years on record have
occurred since 1980, and 2005 was the hottest of all. The nearly universal consensus
amongst scientists is that this warming trend has been triggered by the emission of
carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gasses by human activities (e.g. industrial
processes, fossil fuel combustion and land use changes such as deforestation).
Moderate projections of future warming suggest a global increase of 1.4ºC (2.5ºF) to
5.8ºC (10.4ºF) by 2100. In some areas, such as Southern Africa and the Sahel, the
rise in temperatures could be double these averages.